Forget the National Weather Service! Forget all other hurricane predictions you have heard so far. This is the REAL deal.
Based on the fact that I am on the "lock down" team at the hospital, there will be: five hurricanes come in our general direction, but veer off (poor Wilmington, just sticking out there like a sore thumb). There will be two that come near enough for the "emergency management team" issue proclamations for us to pack up our "hurricane kits" and haul them to the hospital and prepare to stay for the duration. Neither of those hurricanes will hit Charleston and we will have to haul our stuff back home.
Now, I'm unable to predict if one will hit us directly or come close enough for us to get the effects because, yes, I am on the lock down team, but my fellow detainees are two of my favorite people to work with. So it's a toss up.
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Okay, I guess I'll start getting my act together - both my home and lab are in hurricane evacuation areas. Great, just great. (I like your approach better than the whole ocean temperature, jet stream, etc sort of approach).
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